Gaddafi’s Son ‘Knows What it Takes to Move Libya Forward’ – Specialist


Gaddafi’s Son ‘Knows What it Takes to Move Libya Forward’ – Specialist

 

 

Unifying the Libyan tribes is central to bringing stability to the country, believes David Otto, Counter Terrorism and Organized Crime Expert, Director of TGS Security and Intelligence Consultants, a company, providing consultancy on security and intelligence matters, who took the time to participate in an interview with Radio Sputnik.

In the midst of crisis and civil war, Libya is bracing to hold presidential elections next year. Since being freed from jail this past summer, second son of the late Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi is being posited as a potential favorite for the post. Sharing his thoughts on the prospect of a member of the Gaddafi family returning to power is specialist David Otto.

David Otto: This is a man who has gone through a political branding mill, so to speak, and he understands very much what it takes to move Libya forward, to a modern government system by the people, for the people and a system that would be void of interference in the internal affairs of Libya. I think Saif Islam, having spent a lot of time in jail, he has taken time to reflect on what really went wrong. And he now has the opportunity, perhaps, to have another go if the people of Libya really choose to elect him as the next president.

Sputnik: How much support does he have?

David Otto: In terms of support, Saif Islam is somebody who is aware of the causes of credibility. He knows very well that it is the people of Libya that count. He also knows that a lot of Libyans who hold the power to vote remain the silent majority, and they continue to suffer the most from what Libya has become after his father was murdered. He has managed at this very early stage to win almost 80% of the union of tribal council members — and you are very much aware that Libya has about 140 tribes that make up Libya. Even before Gaddafi came to power, which is something Saif Islam has experienced himself, he knew the biggest challenge that any leadership would face, any challenge that would threaten the unity of Libya and its progress from being a poor country to being a rich country was the diverse tribal existence, where every tribe wanted to be dominant. However oppressive Western media sees what his father did, he managed to have very firm control over all of these 140 tribes. This is an experience which Saif Islam had during the leadership of his father. The time that he spent in jail, he understood the dynamics of the tribal and planned system, and he is putting some of the major tribes back together, which exist in Libya. He has a lot of support from some of these tribes, and this is what really puts him in a very strong position.

Sputnik: How is it that he’s been able to gain this support? What exactly has he been doing, and what will he continue to do to try to unite all of the different tribes in Libya and bring unity to the country?

David Otto: What Saif Islam has been able to do is to spend a lot of time to understand that in order for any president, or for anybody to have full control over Libya — he said it before, already in 2011 — he said that in order for anybody to have firm control over Libya, they have to be able to have a firm control and abide in the interests of the tribal councils. He has been able to put envoys on the ground to talk about the possibilities of having a unified Libya. He understands that there is the Government of National Accord in Tripoli, and then he also has the challenge of the Libyan National Army, under Khalifa Haftar. So, what Saif Islam has been doing is to garner more support from some of these tribes that switch sides when things hit the fan. He’s managed to do that. A lot of Libyans are now fed up after six years of thinking that the new GNA government, which is UN-backed, would be able to create stability. But now there’s a period of disillusionment among a lot of these tribes, and they then look at the way that Gaddafi’s father ran Libya and think that was far better. Because of that, he has actually been able to bring a lot of support, because they see him as the only person that could actually unite most of these tribes.

Sputnik: How is the West, namely the United States and the EU likely react to Saif Gaddafi, especially if he does win these elections?

David Otto: It is going to be interesting. What I think is that it’s going to be a somewhat confusing and somewhat unbelievable scenario for the West. But Gaddafi’s son understands that in a democratically held election, it is the reaction of Libyans that will count to Saif Islam, and no-one else really matters. Libya, of course, will need foreign support, and I guess from many countries, including the African Union, that has the capacity to lift Libya from the turmoil, even if Libya is deserted by the European Union. I think if Saif Islam wins and succeeds in bringing Libya together, and halts the crisis that most countries are facing as a result of Libya, and manages to stop the chaos that has been created in Libya, perhaps in coordination with the African Union, and also if he defeats the cocktail of jihadists in the Sahara region and creates stability for his regional neighbors, the reaction of the West will change for good. The West itself is desperately looking for some miracle to fix this problem, even if it benefitted them somehow from a geopolitical perspective, and if Saif Islam is that person, then I don’t think they have much of a say.

ديفيد اوتو مدير امن الاستخبارات الروسية :-
80% من القبائل الليبية تدعم سيف الإسلام…وسيناريو فوز سيف الإسلام القذافي بالانتخابات سيكون مربكاً للغرب
تصريحات ومتابعات دقيقة للمجتمع الدولي والصحافة العالمية لـ نبأ ترشح الدكتور سيف الاسلام وذلك في ظل المعاناة التي تشهدها ليبيا من تقهقر الوضع الامني وعدم الاستقرا وانتشار التنظيمات الارهابية تسبب في تفجير الوضع في اوروبا ومصدر قلق دائم لها،وكذلك فقدان السيطرة علي اغلب المناطق مما تسبب في اجتياح كامل للهجرة الغير شرعية علي اوروبا،والوضع الاقتصادي المتهاوي ومجال النفط الذي يعاني ويلات السرقة والنهب كل هذه العوامل جعلت المجتمع الدولي يغير مسار أنظاره لـ الدكتور سيف الاسلام مؤسس مشروع ليبيا الغد ليبيا البناء وليبيا النماء.
وفي تصريحات جديدة قدمها خبير مكافحة الارهاب والجريمة المنظمة ومدير الامن والاستخبارات في TGS ديفيد أوتو بـ ان “ﺗﻮﺣﻴﺪ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﺎﺋﻞ ﺍﻟﻠﻴﺒﻴﺔ ﺃﻣﺮ ﻣﺤﻮﺭﻱ ﻟﺘﺤﻘﻴﻖ ﺍﻻﺳﺘﻘﺮﺍﺭ ﻓﻲ ﻟﻴﺒﻴﺎ”.
وتحدث ﺃﻭﺗﻮ عن الدكتور سيف الاسلام بـ انه”ﺻﻘﻠﺘﻪ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺎﺭﺏ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﻴﺔ ﻟﻴﻔﻬﻢ ﻣﺎ ﻳﻠﺰﻡ ﻟﻠﺪﻓﻊ بـ ليبيا ﺇﻟﻰ ﺍﻷﻣﺎﻡ،وكذلك ﻹﻗﺎﻣﺔ ﻧﻤﻂ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﻲ ﺣﺪﻳﺚ ﻣﻦ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﺸﻌﺐ ﻷﺟﻞ ﺍﻟﺸﻌﺐ،ﻭﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﻳﻜﻮﻥ ﻋﺼﻴﺎً ﻋﻠﻰ ﺍﻟﺘﺪﺧﻞ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺸﺆﻭﻥ ﺍﻟﺪﺍﺧﻠﻴﺔ ﻟﻠﻴﺒﻴﺎ”.
كما اعتقد ﺃﻭﺗﻮ ﺃﻥ “الدكتور ﺳﻴﻒ ﺍﻹﺳﻼﻡ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺃﻥ ﻗﻀﻰ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﻴﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻮﻗﺖ ﻓﻲ ﺍلأﺳﺮ،ﻛﺎﻥ ﻟﺪﻳﻪ ﺍﻟﻮﻗﺖ ﻟﻠﺘﻔﻜﻴﺮ ﻓﻴﻤﺎ ﺣﺪﺙ” واوضح بـ ﺃﻧﻪ “ﻳﻤﻠﻚ ﺍﻵﻥ ﺍﻟﻔﺮﺻﺔ ﺇﺫﺍ ﺍﺧﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﻟﺸﻌﺐ ﺍﻟﻠﻴﺒﻲ انتخابه ﺭﺋﻴﺴﺎ ﻣﻘﺒﻼ”.
كما اكد الخبير ﺩﻳﻔﻴﺪ ﺃﻭﺗﻮ بـ ﺃﻥ الدكتور “ﺳﻴﻒ ﺍﻹﺳﻼﻡ ﻳﻤﻠﻚ ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺪﺍﻗﻴﺔ،ﻭﻳﻌﻠﻢ ﺟﻴﺪﺍ ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﺸﻌﺐ ﺍﻟﻠﻴﺒﻲ ﻫﻮ ﻣﺎ ﻳﻬﻢ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ،كما يعلم ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﻴﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻠﻴﺒﻴﻴﻦ ﺍﻟﺬﻳﻦ ﻳﻤﻠﻜﻮﻥ ﺳﻠﻄﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﺼﻮﻳﺖ ﻣﺎ ﺯﺍﻟﻮﺍ ﻳﺸﻜﻠﻮﻥ ﺍﻷﻏﻠﺒﻴﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﺎﻣﺘﺔ،ﻭﻻ ﻳﺰﺍﻟﻮﻥ ﻳﻌﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﺃﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻦ ﻏﻴﺮﻫﻢ ﺟﺮﺍﺀ ﻣﺎ ﺃﺻﺒﺤﺖ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﻟﻴﺒﻴﺎ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺳﺘﺸﻬﺎﺩ ﺍﻟﺰﻋﻴﻢ والقائد ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺣﻞ ﻣﻌﻤﺮ ﺍﻟﻘﺬﺍﻓﻲ”.
واعلن الخبير الروسي ﺃﻥ “ﺳﻴﻒ ﺍﻹﺳﻼﻡ ﺗﻤﻜﻦ ﻓﻲ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻤﺮﺣﻠﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺒﻜﺮﺓ ﺟﺪﺍً ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻔﻮﺯ ﺑﺤﻮﺍﻟﻲ 80% ﻣﻦ ﺃﻋﻀﺎﺀ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩ ﺍﻟﻤﺠﺎﻟﺲ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻴﺔ،واشار بـ ﺃﻥ “ﻟﻴﺒﻴﺎ تعد ﺣﻮﺍﻟﻲ 140 ﻗﺒﻴﻠﺔ”.
ﻭﺃﻭﺿﺢ ﺍﻟﺨﺒﻴﺮ ﺍﻟﺮﻭﺳﻲ ﺃﻥ الشهيد ﺍﻟﺰﻋﻴﻢ و القائد ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺣﻞ يعلم جيداًً بـ ﺃﻥ ﺃﻛﺒﺮ ﺗﺤﺪ ﺗﻮﺍﺟﻬﻪ ﺃﻱ ﻗﻴﺎﺩﺓ ﻫﻮ التنوع القبلي،ﺣﻴﺚ ﺗﺮﻳﺪ ﻛﻞ ﻗﺒﻴﻠﺔ ﺃﻥ ﺗﻜﻮﻥ ﻫﻲ ﺍﻟﻤﻬﻴﻤﻨﺔ ﻛﺎﺷﻔﺎً ﺃﻥ ﻭﺳﺎﺋﻞ ﺍﻹﻋﻼﻡ ﺍﻟﻐﺮﺑﻴﺔ ﺍﻗﺮﺕ ﺑﻤﺎ ﻓﻌﻠﻪ ﺍﻟﺸﻬﻴﺪ والزعيم معمر القذافي ونجاحه بـ تمكنه ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺴﻴﻄﺮﺓ ﺑﺸﺪﺓ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻛﻞ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﺎﺋﻞ ﺍﻟـ 140.
كما اشار الخبير الروسي بـ ﺃﻥ “الدكتور ﺳﻴﻒ ﺍﻹﺳﻼﻡ ﻋﺎﻳﺶ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﺘﺠﺮﺑﺔ ﺧﻼﻝ ﻗﻴﺎﺩﺓ ﻭﺍﻟﺪﻩ الشهيد و ﺍﻟﺰﻋﻴﻢ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺣﻞ ﻣﻌﻤﺮ ﺍﻟﻘﺬﺍﻓﻲ،ﺍﺿﺎﻓﺔ ﻟﻠﻮﻗﺖ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻗﻀﺎﻩ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻻﺳﺮ ﻣﻜّﻨﻪ ﻣﻦ ﻓﻬﻢ ﺩﻳﻨﺎﻣﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻨﻈﺎﻡ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﻠﻲ ﻭﻣﻦ ﻭﺿﻊ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﺎﺋﻞ ﺍﻟﺮﺋﻴﺴﻴﺔ ﻣﻌﺎً،وأكد بأن الدكتور سيف الاسلام الآن ﻓﻲ ﻣﻮﻗﻒ ﻗﻮﻱ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ ﺍﻟﻜﺒﻴﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺑﻌﺾ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﺎﺋﻞ”.
ﻛﻤﺎ ﺃوضح ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﻴﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﻠﻴﺒﻴﻴﻦ ﺳﺌﻤﻮﺍ ﺍﻻﻋﺘﻘﺎﺩ ﺑﺄﻥ ما تسمى ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺔ ﺍﻟﻮﻓﺎﻕ المنصبة من الغرب الغير معتمدة ﺳﺘﺘﻤﻜﻦ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻠﻖ ﺍﻻﺳﺘﻘﺮﺍﺭ،موضحاً ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﺎﺋﻞ ﺗﺸﻌﺮ ﺑﺨﻴﺒﺔ ﺍﻻﻣﻞ ﻭﺗﺴﺘﺤﻀﺮ ﺍﻟﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﻛﺎﻥ ﻳﺪﻳﺮ ﺑﻬﺎ الشهيد و ﺍﻟﺰﻋﻴﻢ ﺍﻟﺮﺍﺣﻞ ﻣﻌﻤﺮ ﺍﻟﻘﺬﺍﻓﻲ ﻟﻴﺒﻴﺎ،مؤكدين بأن ﺫﻟﻚ ﻛﺎﻥ ﺃﻓﻀﻞ ﺑﻜﺜﻴﺮ.
ولفت قائلًا ولهذا السبب “ﻛﺎﻥ ﺳﻴﻒ ﺍﻻﺳﻼﻡ ﻗﺎﺩﺭﺍً ﻋﻠﻰ ﺟﻠﺐ ﺍﻟﻜﺜﻴﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻟﺪﻋﻢ،ﻷﻧﻬﻢ ﻳﺮﻭﻥ ﺃﻧﻪ ﺍﻟﺸﺨﺺ ﺍﻟﻮﺣﻴﺪ ﺍﻟﺬﻱ ﻳﻤﻜﻨﻪ بالفعل ﺗﻮﺣﻴﺪ ﻣﻌﻈﻢ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻘﺒﺎﺋﻞ”.
كما افاد ﺩﻳﻔﻴﺪ ﺃﻭﺗﻮ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻧﺠﺢ ﺳﻴﻒ ﺍﻻﺳﻼﻡ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻻﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻓﺈﻥ ﺍﻻﻣﺮ ﺳﻴﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺜﻴﺮﺍ ﻟﻼﻫﺘﻤﺎﻡ” واعرب ﻋﻦ ﺍﻋﺘﻘﺎﺩﻩ سيشكل صدمة للغرب بقوله ان “سيناريو نجاح سيف الاسلام في الانتخابات ﺳﻴﻜﻮﻥ ﻣﺮﺑﻜﺎً ﻭﻏﻴﺮ ﻣﻌﻘﻮﻝ ﺇﻟﻰ ﺣﺪ ﻣﺎ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻠﻐﺮﺏ”.
مضيفاً ﺃﻥ “ﺭﺩ ﻓﻌﻞ ﺍﻟﻠﻴﺒﻴﻴﻦ ﻫﻮ ﻣﺎ ﺳﻴﻬﻢ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﻨﻬﺎﻳﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﺴﻴﻒ ﺍﻹﺳﻼﻡ”ﻣﺆﻛﺪﺍً ﺃﻧﻪ “ﻻ ﺃﺣﺪ ﺁﺧﺮ ﻳﻬﻢ ﺣﻘﺎ”.
ﻭكشف ﺃﻭﺗﻮ ﺇﺫﺍ ﻧﺠﺢ ﺳﻴﻒ ﺍﻻﺳﻼﻡ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺠﻤﻊ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺍﻟﻠﻴﺒﻴﻴﻦ،و ﻭﻗﻒ ﺍﻷﺯﻣﺔ ﺍﻟﺘﻲ ﺗﻮﺍﺟﻬﻬﺎ ﻣﻌﻈﻢ ﺍﻟﺒﻠﺪﺍﻥ ﺟﺮﺍﺀ ﺍﻟﻮﺿﻊ ﻓﻲ ﻟﻴﺒﻴﺎ،وذلك ﺑﺎﻟﺘﻨﺴﻴﻖ ﻣﻊ ﺍﻻﺗﺤﺎﺩ ﺍﻷﻓﺮﻳﻘﻲ،و ﻫﺰﻡ ﺧﻠﻴﻂ ﺍﻟﺠﻬﺎﺩﻳﻴﻦ ﻓﻲ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺍﻟﺼﺤﺮﺍﺀ ﺑﻤﺎ ﻳﺨﻠﻖ ﺍﻻﺳﺘﻘﺮﺍﺭ ﻟﺠﻴﺮﺍﻧﻪ ﺍﻹﻗﻠﻴﻤﻴﻴﻦ،ﻓﺈﻥ ﺭﺩ ﻓﻌﻞ ﺍﻟﻐﺮﺏ ﺳﻴﺘﻐﻴﺮ ﻟﻤﺎ ﻫﻮ ﺃﻓﻀﻞ.
مشيراً إلى ﺃﻥ ﺍﻟﻐﺮﺏ ﻳﺒﺤﺚ ﻋﻦ ﺑﻌﺾ ﺍﻟﻤﻌﺠﺰﺍﺕ ﻹﺻﻼﺡ ﻫﺬﻩ ﺍﻟﻤﺸﻜﻠﺔ ﺣﺘﻰ ﻟﻮ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩ ﻣﻨﻬﺎ ﺑﻄﺮﻳﻘﺔ ﻣﺎ ﻣﻦ ﻣﻨﻈﻮﺭ ﺟﻴﻮﺳﻴﺎﺳﻲ،كما اكد الخبير الروسي ﺃﻥ “الغرب لديهم ﺍﻟﻜﺜﻴﺮ ﻟﻴﻘﻮﻟﻮﻧﻪ ﻓﻲ ﺣﺎﻟﺔ ﺍﻧﺘﺼﺎﺭ ﺳﻴﻒ ﺍﻹﺳﻼﻡ”.

SaveSave

Advertisements

The Supreme Council of the Libyan tribes decided to enter into the presidential and parliamentary elections.


The Supreme Council of the Libyan tribes decided to enter into the presidential and parliamentary elections.

Posted by INTERNATIONALIST 360°

 

 

The Supreme Council of Libyan Tribes decided to enter the presidential and parliamentary elections.
They will nominate one national figure to head the country and will nominate and recommend members of parliamentary elections in all constituencies, each according to his constituency. The majority will probably get more than 75 percent of the seats in parliament.
All tribes, cities, national forces, national groups, supporters of the homeland and supporters of the conqueror must circumvent the candidates of the tribal council, each according to its constituency.

@WRishvan2

LIBYANS ACCUSE FRANCE AND QATAR HAVE DIRECTLY ORDERED THE KILLING OF QADDAFI


LIBYANS ACCUSE FRANCE AND QATAR HAVE DIRECTLY ORDERED THE KILLING OF QADDAFI

Strategika51

 

For the first time since the fall of Muammar Qaddafi regime of the Libyan Human Rights Commission has explicitly accused France and Qatar have directly sponsored his assassination. In the text published in full by the Libyan news agency, namely the Commission accuses the former French President Nicolas Sarkozy and the former emir of Qatar, Hamad Bin Khalifa Al-Thani, of having ordered the murder of Colonel Muammar Qaddafi and his son Mouatassim shortly after their capture by French mercenaries, German and Turkish, following the bombing of the Libyan convoy near Sirte by NATO bombers and drones. 

After his capture, the killer commando handed to Qaddafi Misrata militia to a lynching filmed giving the impression to the world that it is the rebellion that is responsible for his murder. A bad remake calculated execution of the Duce Benito Mussolini Guilino di Mezzegra (Italy) in April 1945.

All the rebels appeared in the video of the lynching of Gaddafi was removed between 2011 and 2015 by the tribal vendetta triggered by Warfalla and their allies which their opponents in retaliation. 

Germany played a major role in the location of Gaddafi, paving the way to the bombing of his convoy by NATO planes. 

More than six years later, Libya is still in chaos with two rival governments and dozens of free cities fighting for the division of the country’s resources.

Since 2011, Libya has become one of the main departure ports for millions of African migrants to Europe, a very lucrative business whose profits fuel very large local fortunes with those of the militia leaders and strong men trying to monopolize power. 

The supporters of the old regime no longer hide and hold power over ten localities around Bani Walid, a stronghold of the powerful Warfalla tribal confederation, whose leaders assist  Haftar against the Tripoli government and the republic Misrata. 

LIBYA: THE NEW MAP WITH QADDAFI


LIBYA: THE NEW MAP WITH QADDAFI

Strategika51

In Libya, the money does not bring happiness and for some it’s hard to raise a new army. The son of Colonel Gaddafi is facing some difficulties to create the nucleus of a new armed force with which he intends to return to Tripoli.

However, Seif Al-Islam Gaddafi has strong advantages not least the support of the powerful tribal confederation Warfalla whose stronghold was never busy and always wears the green flag of the Libyan Djamahirya dismantled by NATO in 2011. alongside Warfallah Seif has the discreet but decisive support of certain factions of Zentene, a powerful military force of Tripolitania who held since 2011 and the Touareg and Toubbou Fezzan.

Seif Al-Islam Gaddafi has managed for now to raise funds and to reconnect with his old contacts in Ukraine for the supply of weapons in a country formally embargoed arms (not all since Marshal Haftar seems to have some facilities). He already has a relatively well-armed militia. One among thousands who swarm in Libya in the shadow of two rival governments manipulated by foreign powers. The challenge facing Seif al-Islam is to transform the militia into a powerful enough military force to impose and federate other power poles or face them. One thinks here of the Free Republic of Misrata, a bitter opponent of former loyalists or the Islamists who hold the capital Tripoli and its surroundings. Relations with powerful units Hafter Army still to be defined and still be a huge challenge for the future of Libya.

Another problem is the support of foreign powers in Gaddafi son project is far from over even if the latter eyeing towards Moscow and Beijing. Exit therefore France, South Korea, Denmark, the United Arab Emirates, Britain, Qatar and Turkey, all countries contributed to the destruction and the spread of chaos in Libya.

“These countries don’t have a milime (Penny) of dinar in the vast programme of contracts to rebuild the country once peace restored” swear those close to Seif.

It is therefore quite normal that the return of Gaddafi on the Libyan scene worried to no end the countries that supported the war in that country.

Canada may have to answer for its role in Libya


Canada may have to answer for its role in Libya

 

By SCOTT TAYLOR

Then Minister of Foreign Affairs John Baird responds to a question during Question Period in the House of Commons on Parliament Hill in Ottawa in 2012. Baird was one of Canada’s fiercest supporters of regime change in Libya, change which Scott Taylor argues ultimately led to the chaotic state of the nation today. (Sean Kilpatrick/CP)

It has been six years since the NATO-supported Libyan uprising murdered President Moammar Gadhafi and toppled his regime. Canada was proud of the fact that the big boys — namely the U.K., U.S. and France — had let us appear to be leading the charge against Libya.

Canada’s then-foreign minister John Baird was the loudest among the chorus of NATO voices bellowing for regime change, Lt.-Gen. Charles Bouchard was publicly named the allied force commander, our CF-18 fighter jets were among the first in operation in the skies above Libya, and the RCN frigate HMCS Charlottetown plied the Mediterranean coastline to enforce the UN arms embargo.

While it was never admitted at the time, the fact that members of the Canadian Special Operations Regiment marched in the Nov. 24, 2011 victory parade on Parliament Hill would appear to confirm that we also had special forces boots on the ground during that conflict.

In addition to that parade, complete with a ceremonial flypast of fighter jets and helicopters, Canada also fast-tracked the Order of Canada process to bestow this honour on Lt.-Gen. Bouchard in recognition of his glorious victory in the desert.

That is an awful lot of glory for such a one-sided martial contest, which pitted the world’s most capable military alliance against a fourth-rate developing-world African security force. It was also a very premature exercise in self-congratulation.

It quickly became evident that what NATO achieved was not regime change. In the absence of a replacement administration, we plunged Libya into a state of violent anarchy.

The disparate militias that had fought together against Gadhafi loyalists refused to disarm and they immediately began fighting among each other.

A British parliamentary report into the Libya intervention was tabled last September and it was a scathing indictment of U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron. The report concluded that the collective intervention of the U.K., France and the U.S. (no mention of Canada) resulted in Libya’s “political and economic collapse, inter-militia and inter-tribal warfare, humanitarian and migrant crises, widespread human rights violations, the spread of Gadhafi regime weapons across the region and the growth of ISIL (Islamic State) in North Africa.”

Former U.S. president Barack Obama summed it up much more succinctly when he described the 2011 Libyan intervention as a “shitshow” and called it the low point in his foreign affairs legacy.

To be fair to Obama, Libya was then-secretary of state Hillary Clinton’s personal pet project. Anyone doubting this need only watch the famous video clip of Clinton during her Oct. 20, 2011 CBS television interview. At one point during the taping the secretary of state learns that Gadhafi has just been murdered in the street by a rebel mob. She throws her head back, laughs and says triumphantly, “We came, we saw . . . he died,” followed by more unrestrained laughter. Laughing at news of a murder — any murder — is clinically sociopathic. But I digress.

Although Libya is not in the news much these days, there have been some significant developments in that war-ravaged country of late, not the least of which is the release of Saif al-Islam Gadhafi from captivity last June.

Gadhafi’s second-oldest son had been held prisoner by a militia group in the city of Zintan since his capture in the waning days of the civil war. Saif had always been seen as the heir to his father’s throne. Those familiar with the Libyan uprising of 2011 know that it was primarily an inter-tribal affair, aided and abetted by Islamic extremists and the might of NATO.

The six years of subsequent anarchy have left Libya a failed state, with a citizenry longing for stability. For this reason alone, Saif has already become a political force on the embattled Libyan landscape.

Last week he announced his intention to run in next year’s presidential election. With the backing of the Warfalla and Qadhadhfa tribes — Libya’s two most powerful tribes — and former loyalists of his father flocking to his banner, Saif has a strong shot at winning at the ballot box.

If that scenario does evolve, Canada will have to do some serious soul-searching into our own allegedly lead role in that disastrous 2011 intervention. It is never too late for us to follow Britain’s lead in conducting an extensive parliamentary review into how we could have gotten it so wrong in Libya. So wrong that it looks like Gadhafi’s son will get the last laugh.